2008/9/21  19:41

Washington Report by Yoshiki Hidaka on '08. Sep. 21th  分類なし
Why Mr. Obama won't be able to win?

 - Interviewee: James Danforth Quayle; Ex. U.S vice President
 - Interviewer: Yoshiki Hidaka; Researcher of Hudson Research Lab
 - Guest: Albert R. Hunt; Executive editor for Washington at Bloomberg
 - Guest: Frederic W. Barnes: Executive editor of the news publication "The Weekly Standard"
 - Guest:
スタン・アンダーソン; マケイン共和党候補顧問

Here, James Danforth "Dan" Quayle is the 44th U.S vice President under the Bush(senior) administration.


1st Section. Until when "Obama boom" will continue?
Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. was officially nominated as the U.S. presidential candidate of the Democrats. He is good in speech so he can attract many people with his rhetoric.
The 2008 DNC was held in Denver Colorado during August 25-28. Although there was a deep ditch between loser Ms. Clinton and winner Mr. Obama, the 2008 DNC finished successfully.
But it was just like "rock concert" rather than political gathering. It is unclear how long and strong such energy will continue in the long run.


2nd Section. How the Republican compete?

The 2008 RNC was held in St. Paul Minnesota during September 1-4. It was getting into full swing backed up by appointment of Alaska Governor Ms. Sarah Palin as the Republican vice presidential candidate, for your ref.>"America's presidential race, The Palin effect"
There is one more factor; St. Paul Minnesota is a "place of white" that means that there is conservative place.
The Republican will win in so called "red states." But the swing states will be the key in the presidential election on Nov. 4th, for your ref.>"Swing states: Wisconsin, Of beer and bikers"


3rd Section. Will the next U.S. president be McCain?

Sense of social value and religious are included among decisive factors of the U.S. presidential election -- such as abortion, mono-sex marriage, gun control and so on.
Here, needless to say, the Republican reflects intention of conservative, for your ref.>"Richard Milhous McCain"
Another factors are "Iraq War" and "energy issue." When it comes to war, even supporters of the GOP think that it is a wrong war. But when it comes to energy, there is a ditch between the Democrats and the Republican.

The Republican has enthusiasm in drilling into soil of the homeland -- such as Alaska. On the other hand, the Democrats is a more pro-environment party.
At present, even though it is a large crude oil producer, the U.S. is a big oil importer because it accounts for 25% of whole world oil consumption.
Here, some experts say that the U.S. is on the oil reserves. Drilling at homeland could be an important factor in the presidential election on Nov. 4th,

For your ref.>2008. 6/15th Will the next U.S. president be McCain?


4th Section. Why McCain is strong? with Dan Quayle

 - Popularity of Mr. McCann showed rapid hike due to success of the 2008 RNC.
 - The only way in that Mr. Obama regains popularity is to beet Mr. McCain decisively in debate, but it is difficult.
 - The Democratic ticket of the Obama-Biden combination is too left so that it is not favored by Americans.


5th Section. How about the U.S.-Japan bilateral relation from now on? with Dan Quayle

 - Washington wants Japan to have a solid government, and contribute to activate world economy.
 - Washington wants Japan not only to strengthen military power but also inject more energy into diplomacy.
 - China must reform its politics.
 - If North Korea holds nuclear weapons, Japan will also become nuclear weapon holder.


Comment;

It is strange that economy was not raised as a topic in this program. Here, we should remind the election slogan that Bill Clinton cited in 1992 -- he said "it is economy, stupid."
There is no doubt that both "sense of social value" and "wars in Iraq and Afghanistan" are important factors in the presidential election.
But that doesn't mean we can ignore economic issue, for your ref.>"America's economy, Wait and see" & "Redefining recession"

The U.S. financial sector has already in a serious conditions, for your ref.>"American finance, A lifeline for AIG"
Even worse, it is forecasted that the conditions will become more and more serious in the near future, for your ref.>"The financial crisis, Wall Street's bad dream" & "The financial crisis, Time to think big"
Sooner or later, financial crisis will project disastrous affect on real economy. And the U.S. economic slump is to affect global economy seriously.

Some compare and point out similarities between Japan's bubble burst and the U.S. one. But one important difference is that Japan is a manufacturing country while the U.S. is a financila one.
Unlike Japan, financial sector is the main pillar of the U.S. economy. So the U.S. is prone to be damaged more seriously from sicked financial sector.
It is a crisis of collapse of the U.S. hegemony, isn't it? I can tell you again, "it is economy, stupid!"

For your ref.>Derivatives, A nuclear winter?

>Investment banking, Is there a future?

>The financial crisis, A break in the clouds

>Financial crisis, Carping about the TARP

>Bright side of the U.S. financial meltdown

>American finance, And then there were none

>Presidential debate, Honours even

>Sarah Palin doesn't deserve women's votes

>Early voting, The beginning of the end

>The battle of hope and experience

>Palin stops the bleeding, just

>The Economist's poll of economists, Examining the candidates

>Presidential debate, A draw that suits Obama

>Much to a name in U.S. politics

>The economy & the election, It's an ill wind

>The candidates at home (1, A moderate among hotheads

>America's election, Running out of time

>American politics, The last word

>Swing states: Indiana, Hoosier Daddy?

>American politics, In poll position

>Obama swings and misses on trade issues

>The congressional elections, More than Obama

>Europeans back Obama, Asians like McCain

>Latin America & the U.S., The more things change

>America's election, Behind but unbowed

>Obama, McCain all but ignore poverty issue

>The presidential election, It's time

>The youth vote, Their poster boy

>Swing states: our conclusions, To 270…and beyond

>揺らぐ米国の金融本位主義


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